Kevin Foster, the Green candidate for the Richmond and Northallerton constituency, said he believed Rishi Sunak would hold onto the seat.
Mr Foster, a North Yorkshire councillor and the first candidate to arrive at the count in Northallerton Leisure Centre, said: “I think Rishi will hold on by between 7,000 and 5,000 votes.
“I think there are still some people sympathetic to him and the alternative is just not there for them. I think they are reluctant but they have come out reluctantly to vote for him. That is my feeling knocking on the doors, but it is really hard this one.”
Mr Foster, wearing a dark green suit and a Greens rosette, also spoke of the disruptive influence of Reform UK on the election, telling PA: “Basically, Reform has got the bottle, shook it up, and we are all over the place, and I have heard that from other parties as well.”
Mr Foster is North Yorkshire Council’s armed forces champion. He served as an army reservist between 1985 and 2015, and spent six months on tour in Iraq in 2003 as an army chef.
He shares his name with the Conservative candidate for Torbay in Devon.